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Jianshuipad

New Nuclear Notebook: Chinese Nuclear Force Modernization

By Hans M. Kristensen China continues to upgrade bases for mobile nuclear medium-range ballistic missiles. The image above shows one of several new launch pads for DF-21 missile launchers constructed at a base near Jianshui in southern China. A new satellite image* on Apple Maps shows the latest part of a two-decade long slow replacement […]

The post New Nuclear Notebook: Chinese Nuclear Force Modernization appears on the FAS Strategic Security Blog.

nasic2013

Air Force Intelligence Report Provides Snapshot of Nuclear Missiles

By Hans M. Kristensen The U.S. Air Force National Air and Space Intelligence Center (NASIC) has published its long-awaited update to the Ballistic and Cruise Missile Threat report, one of the few remaining public (yet sanitized) U.S. intelligence assessment of the world nuclear (and other) forces. Previous years’ reports have been reviewed and made available […]

The post Air Force Intelligence Report Provides Snapshot of Nuclear Missiles appears on the FAS Strategic Security Blog.

afgsc2013

Air Force Briefing Shows Nuclear Modernizations But Ignores US and UK Programs

By Hans M. Kristensen China and North Korea are developing nuclear-capable cruise missiles, according to U.S. Air Force Global Strike Command (AFGSC). The new Chinese and North Korean systems appear on a slide in a Command Briefing that shows nuclear modernizations in eight of the world’s nine nuclear weapons states (Israel is not shown). The […]

The post Air Force Briefing Shows Nuclear Modernizations But Ignores US and UK Programs appears on the FAS Strategic Security Blog.

chinadodtable

Chinese Nuclear Developments Described (and Omitted) by DOD Report

By Hans M. Kristensen Going, going, gone! In its latest annual report to Congress on the military and security developments of the People’s Republic of China, the Pentagon has removed the last public authoritative overview of Chinese nuclear forces. Until 2010, the annual reports included a table with a detailed breakdown of the different types […]

The post Chinese Nuclear Developments Described (and Omitted) by DOD Report appears on the FAS Strategic Security Blog.

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Chinese ICBM Force Leveling Out?

By Hans M. Kristensen The size of China’s intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) force appears to be leveling out instead of increasing. During Thursday’s Senate Armed Services Committee hearing on Current and Future Worldwide Threats, Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) director Lieutenant General Michael T. Flynn told the lawmakers: China’s nuclear arsenal currently consists of approximately 50-75 […]

The post Chinese ICBM Force Leveling Out? appears on the FAS Strategic Security Blog.

STRATCOM Commander Rejects High Estimates for Chinese Nuclear Arsenal

STRATCOM Commander estimates that China has “several hundred” nuclear warheads. . By Hans M. Kristensen The commander of U.S. Strategic Command (STRATCOM) has rejected claims that China’s nuclear arsenal is much larger than commonly believed. “I do not believe that China has hundreds or thousands more nuclear weapons than what the intelligence community has been [...]

The post STRATCOM Commander Rejects High Estimates for Chinese Nuclear Arsenal appears on the FAS Strategic Security Blog.

Event: Conference on Using Satellite Imagery to Monitor Nuclear Forces and Proliferators

This satellite imagery analysis from my conference briefing illustrates upgrade of Chinese mobile nuclear missile launch garrison at Qingyang (30°41’52.64″N, 117°53’36.25″E). Such analysis is becoming more important as the U.S. government is curtailing what it releases about Chinese (and Russian) nuclear forces. Click on image for large image version. . By Hans M. Kristensen Earlier [...]

The post Event: Conference on Using Satellite Imagery to Monitor Nuclear Forces and Proliferators appears on the FAS Strategic Security Blog.

Chinese Mobile ICBMs Seen in Central China

Road-mobile DF-31/31A ICBM launchers deploying to Central China are visible on new commercial satellite images. Click on image for larger version. . By Hans M. Kristensen Recent satellite images show that China is setting up launch units for its newest road-mobile Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) in central China. Several launchers of the new DF-31/31A appeared [...]

The post Chinese Mobile ICBMs Seen in Central China appears on the FAS Strategic Security Blog.

Chinese Nuclear Modernization: Smaller and Later

DIA threat assessment shows slower Chinese nuclear modernization. . By Hans M. Kristensen At about the same time nuclear arms reduction opponents last week incorrectly accused the Obama administration of considering “reckless” cuts in nuclear forces that would leave the United States “with fewer warheads than China,” Congress received its annual threat assessment from the [...]

The post Chinese Nuclear Modernization: Smaller and Later appears on the FAS Strategic Security Blog.

No, China Does Not Have 3,000 Nuclear Weapons

A study from Georgetown University incorrectly suggests that China has 3,000 nuclear weapons.The estimate is off by an order of magnitude. . By Hans M. Kristensen Only the Chinese government knows how many nuclear weapons China has. As in most other nuclear weapon states, the number is a closely held secret. Even so, it is [...]

The post No, China Does Not Have 3,000 Nuclear Weapons appears on the FAS Strategic Security Blog.