Posts by Charles P. Blair
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Radiological Ray Gun: More Buck Rogers Fantasy than Risk to Real People

The June 18th arrest of two men for allegedly plotting to build a bizarre yet potentially deadly radiological device once again highlights the potential nexus of non-state actors with so-called weapons of mass destruction (WMD). However, much like this year’s troika of ricin-laced letters addressed to government facilities (including one to the CIA) and public […]

The post Radiological Ray Gun: More Buck Rogers Fantasy than Risk to Real People appears on the FAS Strategic Security Blog.

Learn the Trade Craft of Terrorism Analysis

Event: Workshop on Terrorism Analysis

In July, Charles P. Blair, FAS’s Senior Fellow on State and Non-State Threats, will be hosting an in-depth workshop at George Mason University titled Terrorism Analysis: Quantitative and Qualitative Research Methodologies and Tools. This non-credit course introduces participants to a variety of quantitative and qualitative methodologies for the study of terrorism. Over two days, participants are […]

Scenario 4 Comprehensive Bombing Campaign

War with Iran? Revisiting the Potentially Staggering Costs to the Global Economy

The Senate passage of Resolution 65 on May 22, 2013, some argue, draws the United States closer to military action against Iran. In October 2012, amid concerns that surprisingly little research addressed the potential broad outcomes of possible U.S.-led actions against Iran, researchers at the Federation of American Scientists (FAS) assembled nine renowned subject matter […]

The post War with Iran? Revisiting the Potentially Staggering Costs to the Global Economy appears on the FAS Strategic Security Blog.

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Better Understanding North Korea: Q&A with Seven East Asian Experts, Part 2

Editor’s Note: This is the second of two postings of a Q&A conducted primarily by the Federation of American Scientists regarding the current situation on the Korean Peninsula. Developed and edited by Charles P. Blair, Mark Jansson, and Devin H. Ellis, the authors’ responses have not been edited; all views expressed by these subject-matter experts are their own. Please note […]

The post Better Understanding North Korea: Q&A with Seven East Asian Experts, Part 2 appears on the FAS Strategic Security Blog.

North Korea flag nuclear

Better Understanding North Korea: Q&A with Seven East Asian Experts, Part 1

Researchers from the Federation of American Scientists (FAS) asked seven individuals who are experts in East Asia about the the recent escalation in tensions on the Korean Peninsula. Is North Korea serious about their threats and are we on the brink of war? What influence does China exert over DPRK, and what influence is China wiling to exert over the DPRK? How does the increase in tension affect South Korean President Park Guen-he’s political agenda?

This is the first part of the Q&A featuring Dr. Ted Galen Carpenter, Dr. Balbina Hwang, Ms. Duyeon Kim and Dr. Leon Sigal.

The post Better Understanding North Korea: Q&A with Seven East Asian Experts, Part 1 appears on the FAS Strategic Security Blog.

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Q&A Session on Recent Developments in U.S. and NATO Missile Defense with Dr. Yousaf Butt and Dr. George Lewis

Dr. Yousaf Butt, a nuclear physicist, is professor and scientist-in-residence at the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the Monterey Institute of International Studies. The views expressed are his own. Dr. George N. Lewis is a senior research associate at the Judith Reppy Institute for Peace and Conflict Studies at Cornell University. Researchers from [...]

The post Q&A Session on Recent Developments in U.S. and NATO Missile Defense with Dr. Yousaf Butt and Dr. George Lewis appears on the FAS Strategic Security Blog.

Figure 1: Incidents of Terrorism and the Fatalities They Generate, 1970-2010

Norway’s Anders Brevik: Weapons of Mass Destruction and the Politics of Cultural Despair

ABOUT THIS REPORT (click to show) At some point, most security analysts face the dilemma of balancing expediency with analytical thoroughness. Such is the case with Norway’s Anders Breivik. As his victims await burial, Breivik’s treatise—the 1500 page, 2083: A European Declaration of Independence (click here for PDF link)—became available only a few days ago. [...]

The post Norway’s Anders Brevik: Weapons of Mass Destruction and the Politics of Cultural Despair appears on the FAS Strategic Security Blog.

The Demise of Osama Bin Laden

In the immediate aftermath of the death of Osama bin Laden much attention has been focused on the fact that al-Qa‘ida, in stark contrast to its operational configuration a decade ago, is no longer a cohesive whole. It is a “franchise” many rightfully point out, even inspiring sophisticated and deadly attacks by “lone wolves”—those sharing [...]

The post The Demise of Osama Bin Laden appears on the FAS Strategic Security Blog.